{"id":6373,"date":"2016-12-26T23:05:48","date_gmt":"2016-12-26T15:05:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/?p=6373"},"modified":"2017-01-01T23:12:28","modified_gmt":"2017-01-01T15:12:28","slug":"%e5%86%85%e9%98%81%e5%ba%94%e8%af%a5%e5%9c%a812%e6%9c%8828%e6%97%a5%e4%b8%be%e8%a1%8c%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%ac%e5%b9%b4%e5%ba%a6%e6%9c%80%e5%90%8e%e4%b8%80%e6%ac%a1%e4%bc%9a%e8%ae%ae%e4%b8%8a%e5%ae%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/?p=6373","title":{"rendered":"\u5185\u9601\u5e94\u8be5\u572812\u670828\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u672c\u5e74\u5ea6\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u89c6\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u8bbe\u5982\u4f55\u56e0\u4e3a\u90e8\u957f\u4eec\u504f\u79bb\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u800c\u6b65\u5165\u6b67\u9014\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u4e11\u95fb\u548c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6027\u76d7\u8d3c\u7edf\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u73b0\u5728\u662f2016\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5468\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u5185\u7701\u7684\u65f6\u523b\u4e86\u3002\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u5185\u7701\u6211\u56fd\u51fa\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u5dee\u9519\u591a\u4e8e\u505a\u5bf9\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a2016\u5e74\u662f\u6bd42015\u5e74\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u548c\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u9996\u76f8\u62ff\u7763\u65af\u91cc\u7eb3\u5409\u62c9\u8428\u57282016\u5e74\u7684\u65b0\u5e74\u732e\u8bcd\u544a\u8bc9\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e24\u5927\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u7684500\u4ebf\u4ee4\u5409\u548c26\u4ebf\u4ee4\u5409\u6350\u6b3e\u5df2\u7ecf\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7eb3\u5409\u5176\u9519\u65e0\u6bd4\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eca\u5e74\u90a3\u4e24\u5927\u4e11\u95fb\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8206\u8bba\u8fde\u7eed\u5f15\u8d77\u731b\u70c8\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4f7f\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u58f0\u8a89\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\u906d\u53d7\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u627f\u8ba4\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u65f6\u4e5f\u8981\u611f\u5230\u5c34\u5c2c\u3002
\n<\/p>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u88ab\u56fd\u9645\u7f51\u7ad9foreignpolicy.com<\/a>\u8bc4\u4e3a\u201c2015\u5e74\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u4e11\u95fb\u7b2c\u4e09\u540d\u201d\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ee7\u7eed\u79ef\u7d2f\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u803b\u8fb1\uff0c\u59823\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5728\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u8150\u8d25\u4e2a\u6848\u4e2d\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff1b 5\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5728\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u300b\u7684\u670b\u515a\u8d44\u672c\u4e3b\u4e49\u6307\u6570\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca7\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53f8\u6cd5\u90e8\u63d0\u51fa\u5386\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u53cd\u653f\u5e9c\u9ad8\u5c42\u8d2a\u8150\u8bc9\u8bbc\uff0c\u4ee5\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u745e\u58eb\u6ca1\u6536\u548c\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u76f8\u5173\u768410\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u800c\u8be5\u7b14\u8d44\u4ea7\u6d89\u53ca\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u8d85\u8fc735\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u9ad8\u5c42\u821e\u5f0a\u548c\u6d17\u94b1\u884c\u4e3a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0d\u53ea\u9762\u4e34\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u56f0\u6270\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5371\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u7531\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4ee4\u5409\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u66b4\u8dcc\u548c\u6211\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u79cd\u65cf\u548c\u5b97\u6559\u6781\u5316\u6240\u8bc1\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5230\u5e95\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u662f\u51fa\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u95ee\u9898\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u53c8\u53ef\u4ee5\u600e\u4e48\u628a\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u65b0\u653e\u5728\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u8ba9\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u6216\u56fd\u5916\u62ac\u5934\u633a\u80f8\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6559\u8bad\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u653f\u5e9c\u6ca1\u6709\u504f\u79bb\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u76845\u4e2a\u539f\u5219\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u672c\u6765\u53ef\u4ee5\u514d\u9664\u56e0\u4e3a\u51e0\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u6d17\u94b1\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u81ed\u540d\u662d\u8457\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6027\u76d7\u8d3c\u7edf\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b63\u5728\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u6240\u6709\u56f0\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n

\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u4eec\u88ab\u8981\u6c42\u80cc\u8bf5\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u7684\u4e94\u9879\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u5373\uff1a\u4fe1\u5949\u4e0a\u82cd\uff1b\u5fe0\u4e8e\u541b\u56fd\uff1b\u7ef4\u62a4\u5baa\u6cd5\uff1b\u5c0a\u5d07\u6cd5\u6cbb\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u57f9\u517b\u5fb7\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53ef\u60b2\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u90e8\u957f\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u81ea\u5df1\u5fd8\u8bb0\u9075\u5b88\u548c\u5c0a\u91cd\u8fd9\u4e94\u9053\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u548c\u4ee5\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u56e2\u7ed3\u7684\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5373\uff1a\u7ef4\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1b\u521b\u9020\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u516c\u5e73\u5206\u4eab\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u5bcc\uff1b\u4ee5\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u5bf9\u5f85\u6211\u4eec\u4e30\u5bcc\u591a\u6837\u7684\u6587\u5316\u4f20\u7edf\uff1b\u5efa\u8bbe\u9762\u5411\u73b0\u4ee3\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u793e\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6628\u5929\uff0c\u5728\u5409\u9686\u5761\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u57fa\u7763\u6559\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u4e0b\u5348\u8336\u805a\u4f1a\uff0c\u9996\u76f8\u7f72\u90e8\u957f\u62ff\u7763\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u8bf4\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u4e0d\u80fd\u5141\u8bb8\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u5728\u6211\u56fd\u5174\u8d77\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u4e2a\u6c11\u65cf\u8bf4\u81ea\u5df1\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u6c11\u65cf\u4f18\u8d8a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u58f0\u540d\u72fc\u85c9\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u90e8\u957f\u4eec\u8bf4\u4e86\u9ad8\u8c03\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u610f\u56fe\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u610f\u613f\u4ee5\u201c\u8a00\u884c\u4e00\u81f4\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u662f\u5426\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u52301\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u768411\u670830\u65e5\uff0c\u9996\u76f8\u62ff\u7763\u65af\u91cc\u7eb3\u5409\u62c9\u8428\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u5deb\u7edf\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6f14\u8bcd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u8000\u6b66\u626c\u5a01\u7684\u6700\u6076\u52a3\u793a\u8303\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5f15\u8ff0\u4e00\u540d\u5deb\u7edf\u9752\u5e74\u56e2\u9886\u8896\u5bf9\u534e\u4eba\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5373\u5982\u679c\u534e\u4eba\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u515a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u88ab\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\uff01<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u5728\u5185\u9601\u4e4b\u5185\u8fd8\u662f\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u662f\u5426\u66fe\u7ecf\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u5173\u6ce8\u7eb3\u5409\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u8bf4\uff0c\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u9700\u8981\u626e\u6f14\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u542c\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u540c\u6837\u7684\u573a\u5408\uff0c\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u8bf4\u5982\u679c\u653f\u5e9c\u656c\u754f\u4e0a\u5e1d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7559\u5728\u5185\u9601\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9690\u6666\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\uff0c\u53e6\u6709\u542b\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5218\u80dc\u6743\u662f\u5426\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7eb3\u5409\u7684\u884c\u653f\u5f53\u5c40\u662f\u4e0d\u656c\u754f\u795e\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u8bbe\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u5e94\u63a5\u4e0d\u6687\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u80dc\u6743\u662f\u5185\u9601\u4e2d\u552f\u4e00\u201c\u656c\u754f\u4e0a\u5e1d\u201d\u7684\u90e8\u957f\u5417\uff1f\u4ed6\u53bb\u5e74\u548c\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u5426\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u6765\u786e\u4fdd\u5185\u9601\u4e0d\u504f\u79bb\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u76845\u9053\u539f\u5219\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u5728\u6570\u4e2a\u4e11\u95fb\u5931\u53bb\u9053\u5fb7\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5982\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u6d17\u94b1\u4e11\u95fb\u3001\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u201c\u5168\u7403\u76d7\u8d3c\u7edf\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5deb\u7edf\u90e8\u957f\u548c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5021\u5bfc\u7684\u6700\u6076\u6bd2\u548c\u5177\u5206\u88c2\u6027\u7684\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5174\u8d77\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u5185\u9601\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u5728\u661f\u671f\u4e09\u4e3e\u884c\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u5185\u9601\u5e94\u8be5\u572812\u670828\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u672c\u5e74\u5ea6\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5ba1\u89c6\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u8bbe\u5982\u4f55\u56e0\u4e3a\u90e8\u957f\u4eec\u504f\u79bb\u56fd\u5bb6\u539f\u5219\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u800c\u6b65\u5165\u6b67\u9014\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u4e11\u95fb\u3001\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6027\u76d7\u8d3c\u7edf\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9996\u76f8\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u5deb\u7edf\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7684\u8eab\u4efd\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u6781\u5ea6\u201c\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u201d\u7684\u6f14\u8bcd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3010\u4e8e2016\u5e7412\u670826\u65e5\uff08\u661f\u671f\u4e00\uff09\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9\u5728\u4e4c\u9c81\u69fd\u7684\u8bb0\u8005\u4f1a\u58f0\u660e\u3011<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u73b0\u5728\u662f2016\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5468\u4e86\u3002 \u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u5185\u7701\u7684\u65f6\u523b\u4e86\u3002\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u5185\u7701\u6211\u56fd\u51fa\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u5dee\u9519\u591a\u4e8e\u505a\u5bf9\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a2016\u5e74\u662f\u6bd42015\u5e74\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u548c\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002 \u4e00\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u9996\u76f8\u62ff\u7763\u65af\u91cc\u7eb3\u5409\u62c9\u8428\u57282016\u5e74\u7684\u65b0\u5e74\u732e\u8bcd\u544a\u8bc9\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e24\u5927\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u9a6c\u53d1\u5c55\u516c\u53f8\u7684500\u4ebf\u4ee4\u5409\u548c26\u4ebf\u4ee4\u5409\u6350\u6b3e\u5df2\u7ecf\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u4e86\u3002 \u7eb3\u5409\u5176\u9519\u65e0\u6bd4\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eca\u5e74\u90a3\u4e24\u5927\u4e11\u95fb\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8206\u8bba\u8fde\u7eed\u5f15\u8d77\u731b\u70c8\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4f7f\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u58f0\u8a89\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\u906d\u53d7\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u627f\u8ba4\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u4eba\u65f6\u4e5f\u8981\u611f\u5230\u5c34\u5c2c\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,20,66,7,81],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-31","category-20","category-66","category-7","category-81"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6373"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6373\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6376,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6373\/revisions\/6376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cblog.limkitsiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}